Future Standards


Turmoil – for the first time ever
July 24, 2009, 11:03 am
Filed under: Economic

There’s been much turmoil over the past year and I keep reading of extraordinary events that have happened “for the first time ever”.

 

A quick google news search reveals some interesting results from this – perhaps little signals amid the all the uncertainty of the future direction we’re heading in?

 

“For the first time ever China bought more new cars in the first half of 2009 than the U.S”

http://blogs.zdnet.com/green/?p=6041

 

“On July 13th, for the first time ever, a private rocket company has successfully placed a satellite in orbit”

http://www.geek.com/articles/news/for-the-first-time-a-private-company-places-a-satellite-in-orbit-20090715/

 

“The US federal deficit topped one trillion US dollars for the first time ever”

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5hrIHTN_1_szqyV1lZDfVCl6cNKpA

 

“For the first time ever, Microsoft, the world’s largest PC software company, experienced a drop in sales of its Windows software and carried out large-scale layoffs”

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/15/technology/companies/15chip.html

 

President Obama stepped up on renewables and passed regulations to “enable, for the first time ever, the nation to tap into our ocean’s vast sustainable resources to generate clean energy”

http://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/energy_and_environment/

 

“For the first time ever there are now more pensioners than children in the UK”

http://financialadvice.co.uk/news/8/pensions/11304/UK-government-considers-abolishing-retirement-age.html

 

Peter Andre has announced that “I honestly believe for the first time ever that I’m going to have an international album”

http://www.itv.com/lifestyle/thismorning/entertainment/peterandre001/default.html

 

OK, so the last one may be a red herring. 

 

And just because something’s happened for the very first time doesn’t make it significant in the long term.

 

Is this just erratic ‘noise’ amid the chaos?

 

I think not. Some of these big shifts of our time that may have appeared insignificant before the crunch are now accelerating with a vengeance.

RICHARD



Population trends: not what you think
May 12, 2009, 9:32 am
Filed under: Demographics, Social | Tags:

A new article in the Wilson Quarterly covers the most recent data available for predicting future trends of the population. However, they make some points that counter what some preconceived notions.

“While it starts with the typical information about the fluctuations in population for 2050, what the average number of children a woman bears, etc., it moves on to more contrarian views. Because of this bastardization of knowledge, three deeply misleading assumptions about demographic trends have become lodged in the public mind. The first is that mass migration into Europe, legal and illegal, combined with an eroding native population base, is transforming the ethnic, cultural, and religious identity of the continent. The second assumption, which is related to the first, is that Europe’s native population is in steady and serious decline from a falling birthrate, and that the aging population will place intolerable demands on governments to maintain public pension and health systems. The third is that population growth in the developing world will continue at a high rate. Allowing for the uncertainty of all population projections, the most recent data indicate that all of these assumptions are highly questionable and that they are not a reliable basis for serious policy ­decisions”

This is just a taste, as it moves into quite interesting areas such as the future of sub-saharan Africa, the world’s most popular name, and dramatic demographic shifts in the middle east. That is not the least of it though. All major regions are covered in this report and it seems change is afoot (as always).

http://www.wilsoncenter.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=wq.essay&essay_id=519403



Winner: Cardboard Oven
April 17, 2009, 12:18 pm
Filed under: Technology

For those who have been following the HP/Forum for the Future Climate Change Challenge, the Cardboard Oven has won. This simple, yet brilliant, innovation costs next to nothing, and will give people in developing countries dependant on gas or wood-burning stoves a viable alternative.

“The oven is targeted at the three billion people who use firewood to cook in developing countries.

Mr Bøhmer said: ‘We’re saving lives and saving trees. I doubt if there is any other technology that can make so much impact for so little money.’”

This innovation will help engage the developing world without forcing them to make drastic changes in their lives. Since climate chage is a global issue (though caused primarily by developed nations) it will require a global response.

So congratulations to Mr. Bøhmer for his great invention and a well deserved reward. To see all the finalists, please go here.



Google, Twitter and Consumer Behavior
April 16, 2009, 1:39 pm
Filed under: Technology | Tags: , , ,

A new report called Predicting the Present with Google Trends outlines how Google trends, linked with google search, can predict consumer behavior month by month. By combining the information collected with the Google Search function, one could potentially predict what people are going to do. For example, if a certain model of car is searched for, it could be predicted that the purchases of that model will increase in the near future. This type of modeling has huge implications for all industries, and just about anyone wishing to sell something.

Google searches as well as Twitter are just a couple ways all this new information can help researchers understand what people are thinking. the New York Times reported on how businesses and people are using Twitter to know what people are thinking. While the individual ‘tweets’ are seemingly mindless chatter, taken as a whole provides insight into the “global collective brain.”

“By tapping into the world’s collective brain, researchers of all kinds have found that if they make the effort to dig through the mundane comments, the live conversations offer an early glimpse into public sentiment — and even help them shape it. Companies like Starbucks, Whole Foods and Dell can see what their customers are thinking as they use a product, and the companies can adapt their marketing accordingly. Last week in Moldova, protesters used Twitter as a rallying tool while outsiders peered at their tweets to help them understand what was happening in that little-known country.”



Insect Army
April 15, 2009, 2:34 pm
Filed under: Technology | Tags: , ,

You might think transformers, but you’ll be disappointed.

I read about research in the area of cyborg insects a while back, and was recently reminded of it by an article about an actual beetle that has been turned into a cyborg, which you can watch here.

This is an amazing feat of technology, but it also raises all sorts of ethical questions regarding animal rights. Where will this technology stop? Will these insects be used for eco-terrorists as well?

This new form of animal subordination will most suredly receive serious backlash from activists, but they may soon be questioning the integrity of the very animals they are fighting for.



Instant imagery activism
April 10, 2009, 2:00 pm
Filed under: Technology | Tags: , ,

With the vast increases in instant communication, particularly related to pictures, activists are taking full advantage of this technology to stay organized and, well, active. In Greece earlier this year, anarchist groups reacted instantly through the transmission of pictures as a means to rally world support. Technology has been playing an integral role in protests lately.

“This became obvious during the French riots of 2005, when teenagers posted blogs that urged people to “burn the cops”—and made massive use of text messages to co-ordinate the protests. The youths that trashed Budapest in 2006 relied on blogs to enlist supporters, and distribute an audio recording of the prime minister admitting government corruption.”

The plethora of cameras at demonstrations will now up the accountability of people’s actions, as the police in London found out after the G20 riots at the beginning of April.



Hand held everything
April 10, 2009, 1:49 pm
Filed under: Social | Tags: , ,

It comes as no surprise that this is the where we are headed. Personal computers will constantly become smaller and people will constantly want more technology to be more transportable and more accessible. As phones move deeper into the personal computer realm, the whole indutry will have to shift, as software will now be designed specifically for these devices and won’t even be usable on laptops, let alone desktops. The movement obviously has its benefits, from costs as well as more accessibility for all, as there is vast potential for connecting the developing nations in this way.



The other side of lobbying
April 10, 2009, 1:37 pm
Filed under: Political | Tags: , ,

It’s seems to me, quite often one hears about the big tobacco lobby or big oil lobby, and now, climate change lobbying abounds. This article discusses the vast growth of the climate change lobbyists over the last five years.

“Their sheer numbers are noteworthy, topping about 2,340 — a 300 percent increase over the past five years. There are now four climate change lobbyists for every member of Congress.”

Of course, these lobbyists come from all sides promoting all different views and interests. It seems that bringing so much attention to the issue may have the negative effect of clogging the system and preventing any really change (without direct action that is).

http://www.climatebiz.com/news/2009/02/27/seeking-influence-number-climate-change-lobbyists-tripled-five-years



Siliencing the Languages
March 26, 2009, 3:15 pm
Filed under: Social | Tags: ,

I once heard that within 300 years, there would really only be 3 languages, Spanish, Chinese, and English. While I think Arabic is missing from this list, I do think we are headed towards this situation. A recent article in the Economist has revealed some truth to this theory though.

Their graph shows that there has already been significant loss of languages over the last 100 years, and there is more on its way.

As progress continues to homoginize humanity, one begins to wonder where the destruction of diversity will stop.



Fair Carbon Trade
March 26, 2009, 3:00 pm
Filed under: Social

Bringing together Fair Trade and Carbon Trading, ClimatePath has improved the arena of carbon trading by setting an ethical standard to all trades. Working within  countries such as Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey, the company is trying to ensure the credibility gap currently present within the carbon market is cleared away. This is done by providing project profiles filling customers in with the information they would need to feel more confident in the ethical aspects of their trades.

“Profiles are provided of the offsets, which are verified through a third party, such as the Gold Standard, Green-e, Plan Vivo and Voluntary Carbon Standard. Rochlin hopes that certification, coupled with the profiles, will offer a level of transparency that ease concerns of potential buyers.

“There is a credibility gap,” he said. “People don’t see where the money is going and they don’t see offsets as effective.””

http://www.climatebiz.com/news/2009/03/03/fair-trade-principles-meet-carbon-offsets